I continue to hear the mantra "We can't drill
our way out of our dependence on imported foreign oil" but I've yet to hear
anyone explain why not.
It is one of those mind-numbing mantras that
gets repeated over and over until it becomes popular conventional wisdom.
And as everyone knows, the label,
'conventional wisdom' is almost always a euphemism for something which is
neither conventional nor wise.
Arguing that America cannot drill its way out of
oil dependency is both unconventional, given that what exists is an
oil-based global economy, and unwise,
given that there is, as yet, no viable alternative.
It is a bit like arguing that one cannot save
enough to afford a comfortable retirement and instead promoting the idea of
'investing' one's savings by buying
lottery tickets.
After all, winning the lottery is an alternative
way to finance one's retirement. I am fairly sure I could live out my golden
years comfortably as a Power
Ball winner, but I have a hard time convincing myself that is a viable
alternative.
There are alternative sources of energy besides
petroleum fuels; ethanol, flex fuels, synthetic oil, solar power, electrical
power, hydrogen fuel cells
-- the list is endless. Anything that generates heat is a potential source
of fuel.
But the percentage of vehicles that can use
alternative fuels is not much greater than the percentage of people who
retire as lottery winners. Just because
they won the lottery doesn't mean its a good retirement plan for everyone
else.
Honda recently announced it was planning to
introduce its new hydrogen fuel-cell vehicle to the US, starting in Southern
California. So Honda plans to lease
200 of these cars this year to 'selected' Californians as an 'alternative'
to fossil fuels.
The 'selected' Californians who will get these
leases are all members of the liberal elite who share in common the mantra,
"We can't drill our way out of
this mess." And if Honda were leasing 200 million hydrogen fuel cell cars to
Americans this year, instead of 200, the mantra would make sense.
If you owned one of these cars, you'd probably
be repeating it to. But YOU can't afford one -- you're stuck with your gas
guzzler. And what are you going
to do with it so you can buy a hydrogen fuel cell car? Sell it to somebody
who LIKES paying ten bucks a gallon for gas?
I could claim high gas prices don't bother me
much, and I'd be telling the truth. I drive a 3 cylinder, 45hp diesel 'Smart
Car' that gets 74 mpg in town.
I filled up yesterday from empty for $19.90. Gas prices don't bother me.
But that doesn't mean I think that the rest of
you should either buy a 900 lb mini-car or stop complaining about paying $90
to fill up your six-cylinder
Taurus.
(Not everybody can get by with a car that
carries two people and three small bags of groceries.)
My brother owns a small roofing company that
employs about five guys. It costs him $130 to fill up his van, which he has
to do about three times per week.
He has a number of hard choices before him. He
can lay off one of his guys and hope he can get the job done short-handed.
He can raise his prices and hope that his
customers aren't looking for the lowest bid. Or he can go out of business,
which is the option, he confided to
me yesterday, that is the most viable in his circumstances.
The Democrats who champion the mantra that we
can't drill our way out of this mess say that is the plan. When enough
people are hit by high gas prices the
way my brother is, then the US will be 'forced' to find alternative energy
sources.
In this view, my brother, (and the five newly
unemployed roofers that used to work for him) are taking one for the team. I
suppose we owe them a debt of
gratitude. But my brother doesn't see it like that. Neither does his crew.
They'd rather have jobs.
Gratitude doesn't pay their bills.
Assessment:
Yesterday's seven-minute long speech by
President Bush about the current energy crisis wasn't your average domestic
political pep-talk. It was the opening
shots in what is sure to become a political bloodbath.
And that is just the tip of the iceberg, so to
speak. The political ramifications will be widespread and immediate. First,
let's look at the backstory,
domestically.
For most of his term, the Democrats in Congress
have found ways to blame George Bush for everything from the September 11
attacks to Hurricane Katrina.
Along the way, they managed to convince the public that, thanks to Bush's
policies, the economy was going down the toilet.
The constant drumbeat of negativity failed to
have much impact, despite the willing collaboration of the media, because,
until a bit over a year ago, the
economy was still growing at record levels. Unemployment was low, inflation
was in check . . . then the so-called 'mortgage crisis' hit the housing
market.
Then the price of oil started to skyrocket --
the Dems thought they had a winning combination.
They blamed the Bush tax cuts, the Bush energy
policy, the Bush War, Bush's connections with Big Business, Bush's Oil
Cartel and Bush's foreign policy for
'destroying' the economy and started began the White House 'do something'
about high gas prices.
Meanwhile, the Democratic standard-bearer,
Barack Obama promised, if elected, to tax the oil company's windfall
profits. Evidently, Obama believes that
the oil companies will work harder if the government confiscates their
profits.
(Some folks might argue that, "Go find more oil
and if you do, we'll take it from you" is not exactly an incentive.)
So the Dems are advancing on a platform of
blaming the administration and punishing the oil companies as their
alternative energy plan.
The majority of the Democratic opposition to
allowing America to drill its own oil wells is partisan, rather than
ideological.
Greens tend to vote Democrat because Democrats
court the Greens. That is both a distinction and a difference.
The genuine, militant Greens -- the Al Gore
die-hard environmentalists from the old school have their own agenda. For
them, the "we can't drill our way
out of this mess" isn't a mindless mantra -- it's the bedrock truth.
To the ideological environmentalist, the only
solution to problems of global warming, etc., is to reduce the surplus
population.
We discussed the idea of human overpopulation as
a planetary cancer that the pioneers of the environmentalist movement warned
would have to be excised in
the
June 5 Omega Letter .
"One America burdens the earth much more than
twenty Bangladeshes. This is a terrible thing to say. In order to stabilize
world population,we must eliminate
350,000 people per day. It is a horrible thing to say, but it’s just as bad
not to say it.” - Jacques Cousteau
"If I were reincarnated I would wish to be
returned to earth as a killer virus to lower human population levels.” - HRH
Prince Philip (UK)
But the extremists are really not the problem.
They are clearly nuts, despite their reputation or standing.
They have inspired legions of other nuts to take
up their cause, but they don't have the numbers to do more than be a
nuisance. Most folks listen to them
until the get to the part where we have to make 'hard choices' (ie, starve
the Third World so there's more for the rest of us) and then they tune them
out.
It is the partisan opposition that is the
greater danger, because, unlike the crazy but thoughtful Greens, the
partisans are mindless opponents of anything
that doesn't advance their own political interests.
The New York Times editorialized Bush's call to
allow domestic energy exploration "The Big Pander To Big Oil." These guys
represent the partisan faction
of the opposition. Anything Bush proposes, they oppose on those grounds
alone.
"The whole scheme is based on a series of
fictions that range from the egregious to the merely annoying. Democratic
majority leader, Senator Harry Reid,
noted the worst of these on Wednesday: That a country that consumes
one-quarter of the world’s oil supply but owns only 3 percent of its
reserves can drill
its way out of any problem — whether it be high prices at the pump or
dependence on oil exported by unstable countries in Persian Gulf. This
fiction has
been resisted by Barack Obama but foolishly embraced by John McCain, who
seemed to be making some sense on energy questions until he jumped aboard
the
lift-the-ban bandwagon on Tuesday."
The NYTime's agenda is clear enough. It is a
'fiction' that America has sufficient oil reserves, a fiction advanced by
Big Oil and 'foolishly' embraced
by John McCain -- but not by their Messiah, Barack Obama. Instead, he wants
to tax Big Oil's profits.
(Ok, so I don't love Big Oil either. But I'm not
an idiot. If you tax Big Oil, then they'll pass on the tax to me. That
neither increases the supply nor
reduces the price.)
The partisans aren't advancing a plan to reduce
the surplus population. They are advancing their political aspirations -- if
it starves off a significant
portion of the Third World, they can just blame that on the Republicans and
nobody will be the wiser. In that sense, they are the more dangerous. (At
least
the Greens let you know they are nuts up-front.)
The Democrats have been winning elections by
embracing the scare tactics of the environmentalists and by demonizing "Big
Oil" for forty years.
During the OPEC Crisis, the US was 35% dependent
on foreign oil. Gas prices quadrupled in a decade and Jimmy Carter told us
all to put on sweaters.
In 1981, as the oil shortage eased, the
Democrats immediately voted to cut off access to offshore drilling. Today,
America is almost 70% dependent on foreign
oil, mainly from unfriendly regimes.
To argue that they didn't see this coming is
like arguing they were startled by daylight at sunrise. They sold out the
country's best interests to advance
their own best political interests.
Now that their policies are producing the
results that have been predicted for decades, they are looking for ways to
shift the blame to Big Oil and exonerate
themselves.
Hence, the mindless mantra, "We can't drill our
way out of this mess." They have no other alternative. To argue otherwise
would raise the question of how
we got in 'this mess' to begin with.
They'd rather wipe out small business, starve
off the surplus population and hope the economy doesn't collapse (until
after November) than try to explain
that in an election year.
You just can't make this stuff up. You can step
in it. But you can't make it up.
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